Former CENTCOM Deputy Robert Harward: Iran Is Playing For Time

Washington: As Washington weighs military pressure against diplomacy, President Donald Trump has paused plans for a major strike on Iran while negotiations continue over the Strait of Hormuz and Tehran's nuclear program. Both Tehran and Washington say talks are progressing, but no agreement has yet been reached. To better understand how Iran may be interpreting this moment -- and whether the current diplomatic push can produce lasting results -- RFE/RL spoke with retired Vice Admiral Robert Harward, a former Navy SEAL who served as deputy commander of US Central Command (CENTCOM). According to Radio Free Europe Radio Liberty, Vice Admiral Robert Harward shared his insights on Iran's strategic approach, drawing from his personal and professional experiences. Harward believes that Iran is playing a long-term game, viewing the delay in military action as an opportunity to survive politically through strategic patience. He emphasizes that the Iranian government, specifically the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corp s (IRGC), perceives time as an ally, allowing them to outlast political pressures in the United States. Harward expressed that the current US administration has realized the need to unify various elements of national power, beyond just military force, to address the situation with Iran. The administration is now focusing on political, economic, and military aspects to exert pressure. This shift is evident in President Trump's efforts to rally international support and leverage political pressure, involving discussions with Arab countries and forming coalitions to secure strategic interests like the Strait of Hormuz. Harward further explained that the IRGC's control over Iran's decisions makes it difficult for Tehran to aggressively pursue a deal. The IRGC's power is tied to its survival, and relinquishing any control could pose an existential threat to their regime. This perspective aligns with Harward's view that Iran's leadership is cautious about demonstrating any weakness that could lead to internal acc ountability for past actions. Additionally, Harward noted that outside observers often misunderstand Iran's internal dynamics and the potential for change within the country. He emphasized the importance of recognizing the dissatisfaction among Iran's 95 million citizens with their government. While President Trump has acknowledged this, Harward believes more could be done to capitalize on this sentiment through targeted policies and programs. Harward also highlighted Iran's ability to rebuild its capabilities despite international agreements like the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). He warned that even with compliance, Iran has continued to develop its nuclear and military capabilities, posing a long-term threat beyond the specifics of any agreement. In his conversations with ordinary Iranians, Harward conveyed their optimism for change and their desire for the US to maintain its stance towards a government more focused on the welfare of the Iranian people. Iranians see the potential for prospe rity and freedom akin to neighboring countries and hope for a future less dominated by the current regime's priorities.

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